Biblioteka Publiczna

Spis treści:

1. Prologue
2. Umberto Eco’s antilibrary, or how we seek validation
3. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic
4. Yevgenia’s black swan
5. The speculator and the prostitute
6. One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker
7. Confirmation shmonfirmation!
8. The narrative fallacy
9. Living in the antechamber of hope
10. Giacomo Casanova’s unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence
11. The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd
12. We just can’t predict. The scandal of prediction
13. How to look for bird poop
14. Epistemocracy, a dream
15. Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict?
16. Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back
17. The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud
18. The aesthetics of randomness
19. Locke’s madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places
20. The uncertainty of the phony
21. The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan
22. Epilogue : Yevgenia’s white swans
23. Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest
24. Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile
25. Margaritas ante porcos
26. Asperger and the ontological black swan
27. (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy
28. Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems
29. What to do with the fourth quadrant
30. Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society
31. Amor fati: how to become indestructible

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